Election Day 2026

00:00:03 Speaker 1: My name is Charlie Kirk. I run the largest pro-American student organization in the country fighting for the future of our republic. My call is to fight evil and to proclaim truth. If the most important thing for you is just feeling good, you're going to end up miserable. But if the most important thing is doing good, you will end up purposeful. 00:00:24 Speaker 2: College is a scam, everybody. 00:00:26 Speaker 3: You got to stop sending your kids to college. 00:00:27 Speaker 2: You should get married as. 00:00:28 Speaker 1: Young as possible and have as many kids as possible. Go start a Turning Point USA college chapter. Go start a Turning Point USA high school chapter. Go find out how your church can get involved. Sign up and become an activist. I gave my life to the Lord in fifth grade. Most important decision I ever made in my life, and I encourage you to do the same. Here I am. 00:00:46 Speaker 2: Lord, use me. Buckle up, everybody. Here we go. 00:00:56 Speaker 1: Noble Gold Investments is the official gold sponsor of The Charlie Kirk Show. a company that specializes in gold IRAs and physical delivery of precious metals. Learn how you could protect your wealth with Noble Gold Investments at noblegoldinvestments.com. That is noblegoldinvestments.com. 00:01:17 Speaker 2: All right, welcome everybody. We are off to the races. It is election day, 2026. The midterm rush is on and it's all about turnout. I can only imagine You guys out there in the audience get sick of hearing us say that, but it's true. And let me explain this to you. In Arizona, I just got done meeting with our data team over at Turning Point Action, and it is all about turnout. It is all about, are we going to have 220,000 Republicans come out today, or are we going to have 275,000? That's the question. At 220, we lose. At 275, we're probably going to win, okay? So it's all about can we get people out to the polls. We're going to have a much clearer picture of Arizona and the rest of the country as the day goes on. Is turnout going to be good? And here's what I would say. It is good, but it is not good enough right now. I'm going to be very blunt with you. It is not good enough yet, okay? The day is young. It's 10 o'clock here, mountain time. It means it's noon Eastern time. You have the whole rest of the half of the day to get out to the polls if you're in the East Coast. And if you are on the West Coast, you have even more time, less excuses, make a plan, get out to vote. Blake, you made a great observation. We're going to have Steve Bannon joining us here in just a second. But you made a great observation when it comes to Arizona. When just looking at the votes that are out there to be had. 00:02:47 Speaker 3: I looked at, I asked the team at Turning Point Action, show me the chart. And they have down to the exact number. How many four out of four Republicans are still yet to vote in Arizona? 00:02:58 Speaker 2: Three out of four. 00:02:58 Speaker 3: Three out of four. 00:02:59 Speaker 2: Two out of four. 00:02:59 Speaker 3: All the way down to zero out of four. They have the number. How many outstanding votes are there for each level of turnout? And they show about 250,000 four out of four Republicans haven't voted yet in this state. 00:03:10 Speaker 4: 260,000. 00:03:11 Speaker 5: Yeah, a bit more. 00:03:12 Speaker 3: And if every single one of those people voted today. 00:03:14 Speaker 2: We win. We would win. 00:03:16 Speaker 6: Yeah. 00:03:16 Speaker 3: In fact, it says it modeled model that was like 60 percent. That's crazy to me that like 40 percent of them would actually just drop off. 00:03:23 Speaker 4: Yeah. 00:03:23 Speaker 2: And the other thing that we're looking very closely are at is defections. So the best data that we can garner from this is exit polls, which is notoriously awful. We get that. But basically, exit polls suggested in 2022, about 89 percent of Republicans actually who voted cast their vote for Kerry Lake. 00:03:43 Speaker 7: So. 00:03:43 Speaker 2: What's interesting is that's how we're basing our models on, that Andy Biggs is going to get 89% of the Republican vote. What happens if he gets 89.3? Well, guess what? The graph flips from a Hobbs win to a Biggs win. So that's how important it is to get Republican, reliable voters out to the polls. That's how razor sharp this race is going to come down to in Arizona. And we're seeing that, by the way. In Iowa with Zach Lane, we're seeing that with Mike Rogers. We're seeing it in Michigan. We're seeing that even with Byron Donalds in Florida. So this is literally where everything's going to come down to. Steve Bannon said, you are in the whirlwind now, friends. It's all about this moment. It's all about getting out. And we're going to be playing clips from all over the country of different people that have cast their ballots and what they're saying. And that's good to get a sense of the national vibe. But if you are playing with that psychological game of my vote doesn't really matter. I got kids stuff. I got to get them to school. I got to get them to a doctor's appointment. There's a huge freaking storm through half the country today. And then you don't want to go out in the weather. If you are playing that psychological game that your vote does not count, or that I just can't quite fit it in today and I wish I could, but listen, I see the pictures of the lines everywhere. Listen, we're having presidential level lines in Maricopa County, in Clark County, Nevada, in New Hampshire. We're seeing it live, but it's not good enough yet. I believe we have Steve Bannon now. Steve, Steve Bannon, host of The War Room, right before this show, great American patriot. Steve, you heard my take on Arizona. It's not there yet. We need to see more. You just did a whole show. You had guests from all over the country reporting back. Give us a sense of the tone and tenor, the energy right now. 00:05:43 Speaker 6: I think you and Blake, look, I think you guys are right. As we've talked about today, some of these early voting numbers, like in Texas, are not great. We have to understand we have a big hill to climb, but it's doable. It's doable because we know we have people that consistently vote MAGA and vote Republican that are out there. And if they go to the polls and they get their friends to the polls and we have a surge on Election Day, we're going to win. We've already had, I think, really great news coming out of Florida, at least early morning. We've had very good news coming out of Texas early morning. We just have to make sure this rolls throughout the country. And it's our fate's in our hand. I mean, we wouldn't want to be in a better place to know that our destiny is right with grassroots leaders and grassroots participants alike. that can make this happen. It's going to be a tall hill to climb. One of the stats you guys just threw out that shocked me, and I would hope that's no difference. I know Carrie Lake definitely, and we love Carrie, and you guys were all in from the beginning, but she did have some issues with the Republican Party out there, and so that 89, I would hope that Andy Biggs, who I think is one of our greatest members of the House, would not have that. I would hope that you would see traditionally the 92-93 supporting Andy Biggs. I mean, is there any possibility of that? I think this Andy Biggs governor's race is by far one of the most important governor's races in the country. And of course, those seats, the seats, Feeley, Jay Feeley, the kicker for the Cardinals, him running, and then Juan Siscomani up in the, or down in the Tucson area and parts of Cochise County, I guess, are, these are two important, I mean, late at night, because you guys don't close the polls till late, the fate of the house could rest on these, on these seats, on these races in Arizona guys. So what you've done in Nevada, here's the good news. We're going to know you about your work and Cliff Miller early, because I keep saying Maine, Eastern Kentucky and, and Virginia too, in New Hampshire, very early on the evening, we're going to know if we get a waiver or not, because if we can hold off, if Collins looks strong at the gate, If LePage looks good or solid in Maine, too. If what you guys have done in New Hampshire, Kelly Ayotte, she's not MAGA, but God bless her. She's a tough rhino. She's running a very good race for the governorship. Maybe Sununo will come across. So we're going to know early on, I think, if really a wave is building. And I think a lot of that's your work in New Hampshire. Of course, this heroic effort you guys have made in Arizona and Nevada. 00:08:20 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, we're seeing huge turnouts. in Nevada right now. Nevada, Clark County is looking real strong, Steve. And I will tell you, when you get back to that number on how many Republicans are going to be voting for bigs, I mean, like I said, that's based on 2022 numbers for Carrie Lake. But you're right. She had issues with the McCain wing of the party. She had issues with some of the pro-lifers in the Mormon community. So yeah, in theory, that could be a really conservative number 89 if you slide that dial steve to 89.5 we're in a really really good place we're in a really good place the other the other variable that we're looking at is the indies right we're assuming around 43 of indies right now but if that number is 45 46 we're also in a really good place okay so so arizona we have the structural advantage of having 300 000 more registered republicans we just got to get them out to vote we have way more high prop voters on the table than they do. I mean, our four out of fours, starting this morning, and so we don't have updated numbers, but as of this morning, there was 260,000 four out of fours still on the board. There was about 160,000 three out of fours. So the votes are there if they show up, if they show up. So that is why the turnout is key. The energy, Steve. 00:09:45 Speaker 6: Hang on, let me ask you before I go. The 43%, How do you and Blake and the team, how do you get to that? Because I asked people around the country, Texas everywhere, talking to me about the indie vote because where we could get caught by surprise is a is what they keep arguing oh it's going to be a massive the indies have all flipped against trump how did you guys derive the 43 percent number. 00:10:07 Speaker 2: Yeah so that's based on historical mean and some some uh independent polling that we've been doing right we actually think that's a really conservative number OK, because what happens is when you have a when you have a wave election year in Arizona, the Indies tend to invert. Right. So Trump won about 56 percent to 40, 44 percent. And they tend to invert. 00:10:28 Speaker 7: Right. 00:10:29 Speaker 2: And then we did some independent polling here to kind of see if that number was right. The truth is that we have about some of the independent polling that we have shows it could be as high as 48 percent. So we're just not sure. Wow. Yeah. 00:10:46 Speaker 6: Wow. That's great. I don't know how much time we've got. I just want to get this in there before we got a punch. In Nevada, the historic way they've stolen these elections and they steal them in Nevada. So for every patriot in Nevada, let's just say this. I think the culinary union, I think some people have the hairy eyeball on the culinary union. So don't think they're going to get a free shot on goal to steal your election. Get out and vote today. And I think that it's not going to be like it has been historically. Oh, We vote and we're winning on election night, but somehow the culinary union, surprise, surprise, surprise, steals it. I don't think that's going to happen this time. I think people, I think you've got a lot of very savvy people in Nevada that understand how that thing rolls, how that deal rolls, and it's not going to let it happen again, guys. So just to throw it out there for all the patriots in Nevada that are turning out today. 00:11:38 Speaker 4: In record numbers. 00:11:39 Speaker 2: Nevada's looking strong, very, very strong. I mean, the early returns out of Clark County, are trending more Republican than they did even in 2024, and obviously we know how that state went in 2024. But yeah, I mean, listen, there's a lot on the line today, and I just want to make it very clear. We love Carrie Lake. She ran an incredible race, and she's a dynamic, dynamic campaigner. But you just never know. We just never know how the Andy Biggs is going to line up and how many defections we're going to get and how many indies we're going to get. So those are things we're watching closely as the day goes on. 00:12:14 Speaker 6: And this is why when we did the special with you guys on the work ethic of Charlie Kirk, I tell people, you know, don't believe all the glamour. Look at Charlie's work ethic. Everything Charlie started had a vision, but it never took off immediately. Charlie Kirk had to grind. This guy was a grinder. That's his story. And in 2022, we all learned tons of lessons about 2022. And you guys kind of perfected the model. President Trump would not be in the White House today unless it was the effort of the Turning Point team and Charlie Kirk. And let me give the devil his due. And Elon Musk, who understood that you guys knew what they were doing. That's how we won in 2024. That's how we swept everything. And you guys have put more lessons learned. In this midterm, because remember, there was a time you guys were saying, hey, maybe we don't even work in the midterm. I was saying, no, you got to at least do something. And you guys said, hey, we're going to do a handful to make sure we perfect the model again. And this is why it's such a tee up for 2028. And this Arizona, what you guys have done in Arizona, particularly partnering with people like Cliff Maloney and others, I think is the model for the future. This is what the Democrats do. They're highly organized on this side. We are finally, after a couple of cycles and a learning curve that's straight up, We're starting to learn. So that's why I think so many eyes are going to be on Arizona about are we in Nevada, are we perfecting the model? Also, these house seats, I'm telling you, Nevada and Arizona, if we hold to 218, what I call hold serve, it's a torturous path, but it's doable. 00:13:43 Speaker 2: It's doable. 00:13:44 Speaker 6: But it goes through Arizona, it goes through Philly, it goes through Siskamani, and it goes through Nevada. 00:13:50 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, and let me just tell you, I talked with our Turning Point Action Data team. They're feeling very, very bullish on Philly. Very, very bullish on Feely. Juan was probably, based on our modeling, a little bit down at the start of this morning. He's got a tough district. But again, if that turnout is there, if that R minus D margin is closer to 30%, he's going to have a very, very good day today. And the question, again, we go back to Carrie Lake. She was excellent at turning out the base. She was excellent at turning out the base. She energized the base, unlike we've seen a lot of other people be able to do. So that's a question for today. Can we get that base back out to those Cary Lake numbers? If we can, I love our chances. Steve, this is technically our show, and we want to ask you a question here. Last thing, what's going to be the first thing you look at today to read the tea leaves? What's the first race that this audience needs to look at to see how the bellwether is turning? 00:14:51 Speaker 6: The northern flank, I think, with Cortez and that team up there, I think you look early in the evening, you look at Maine, you look at New Hampshire, you look at these Virginia, the ones that start closing early. You look, I think if you're going to see a blue wave, you'll see a blowout. You'll see them taking Maine early on. You'll see the New Hampshire thing hits on a, crashes on the shore. You'll see Virginia one and two and others. So I think if you're going to see a wave, maybe North Carolina. People got to look at those eastern states. particularly I'm feeling pretty good, particularly if we keep the turnout going throughout the entire day. And I'm feeling pretty good about Texas of people grinding. It's all, look, it's going to come down simply as in Arizona. If we turn out today, we can hold this off. We can hold the Senate. And I think you can still hold the house. If we don't turn out today, folks by tomorrow afternoon, Wednesday afternoon, early Wednesday evening, or Thursday, you could have 196 seats in the house, 197 seats. And if we have that, It is a long, torturous path to give it up. And I tell people and I realize people have legitimate complaints about some of the things that have gone on. I 100 percent get that. But there is no substitute for victory. I'd rather have a 218 where we argue among ourselves and make some of the changes that have to be made. Then we go back. You get you get a house composition has a one handle in front of it. We're going to have a grind. OK, we just are. We're going to have a grind. So I tell everybody today, let's get out there. And that's why early in the evening, I think you'll see if there's a blue wave or not, particularly on this northern flank. But late Wednesday night, early or late Tuesday night, early Wednesday morning, as it starts coming in from Nevada and Arizona and Montana, Montana one up in Kalispell, where the president went. We're going to see. I also think some of the propositions were. In Colorado and some of the propositions in California, we might have a positive surprise on that as conservatives turn out. So the point is, just like Charlie said in that spot, that little clip we played, our fate's in our hands. So we can't bitch and moan here. The fate is in our hands. I understand people have huge problems. There's some energy problems around the country, but we got it, guys. So I'll be watching your coverage and see you later this afternoon. 00:17:05 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll see you this evening, Steve. God bless you, man. 00:17:08 Speaker 4: Thanks, guys. Thanks, Blake. See you. 00:17:12 Speaker 2: All right, we got Jack Posobiec in house. What's up, Andrew? What's going on, man? Well, listen, man, we're just, you know, we're playing. We're doing the election day. Get out the vote, then, because it's that important. 00:17:24 Speaker 3: Look, here's what I say. 00:17:26 Speaker 8: It's line time, all right? You got to go and get in the line. The line is your friend. Get in line, Texas. Get in line, Maine. Get in line, Arizona. Get in line, Arkansas. And stay in line everywhere. And stay in line. 00:17:38 Speaker 4: Stop making excuses. 00:17:38 Speaker 3: They can't make you out of line. No excuses. 00:17:41 Speaker 8: If they try to get you out of line, you let us know. And we will come down on them like a ton of bricks. 00:17:47 Speaker 3: We did it before. We'll do it again. 00:17:49 Speaker 8: And by the way, if they try to tell you that you can't vote and you were already in line, we will send you coffee. If you're in Pennsylvania, we will send you Wawa care packages like I was doing in Bucks County in 2024. And we may have to do again if we're going to, and yes, and yes, help Brian Fitzpatrick. 00:18:07 Speaker 2: There you go. 00:18:07 Speaker 3: It's an important race. Which is a very important bellwether race. 00:18:10 Speaker 8: And by the way, if you're out there in Scott Perry's district, We'll do the same thing. 00:18:14 Speaker 3: We'll go to rudders. 00:18:14 Speaker 8: And yes, we, I will even go personally to get you stuff from sheets. 00:18:20 Speaker 3: I will do it. 00:18:20 Speaker 2: You will fly over there. 00:18:22 Speaker 3: We're no, but I will, I will arrange it. I will arrange it. 00:18:24 Speaker 8: But I'm saying, what I'm saying is as a, as a member of the, you know, a committed member of team Wawa, I'm, I'm breaking the barriers. We're uniting the clans. Listen, Wawa sheets, rudders, Turkey Hill, Cumberland farms, maybe even some Royal farms down there in York County. Well, we will do it all because that line, by the way, That line is your sacred right. It is your sacred right to be in that line because it's your sacred right to vote because. 00:18:47 Speaker 3: Veterans gave their lives for that. 00:18:49 Speaker 8: And don't let anybody tell you that you can't. 00:18:50 Speaker 3: And I'm hearing stories about long lines. I really am. 00:18:53 Speaker 2: No, the stories about long lines are real. I mean, especially you're seeing that in rurals in Texas. You're seeing that in Clark County. You're seeing it in New Hampshire. We're talking like presidential levels. That's good. It's not good enough. And I'm warning you out there that, listen, the Democrats want this real bad. They are salivating. We've been hearing their clips about what they plan to do with the power that they get if they get control of the House and Senate. 00:19:17 Speaker 3: They're already doing their fantasies about the wildest things they'll be able to do. 00:19:21 Speaker 2: They want to impeach Secretary Hexet. Endless investigations. 00:19:24 Speaker 3: They're very clear. 00:19:26 Speaker 6: Creating new states. 00:19:26 Speaker 3: Ally with Iran. New states. Just dogs and cats living together. 00:19:31 Speaker 2: Here's what's crazy. It will never ever make sense to me until it's no longer true. that 95% of Muslims are going to vote today. 95% of them are going to vote. And only about half of the Christians are. Here's Charlie imploring Christians to vote. Stop 15. 00:19:47 Speaker 9: Charlie, thanks for your research. 00:19:48 Speaker 1: I've noticed several people that I know who are Christians say they will not vote because they believe God will steer our country in the right direction. So apparently they want God to do their job. Okay, well, those people are morons. It's like saying, oh, I'm not going to eat dinner tonight because God's going to feed it and put it in my mouth. Or I'm not going to drive my car because God will drive my car. That is a moronic theological view. It is not scriptural. It's not theological. Oh, so God doesn't actually want you to ever do anything right, moral, just, or pure, or good? He just wants you to kind of sit around, veg out, and for things to come to you? At that point, why even shower? Use the restroom. 00:20:19 Speaker 3: Why even get dressed? 00:20:20 Speaker 4: I mean, God will do it for me. 00:20:22 Speaker 1: Not voting is a betrayal to the veterans and those who died for you. 00:20:25 Speaker 9: It takes five seconds. 00:20:26 Speaker 3: That's... He was so good. 00:20:28 Speaker 2: That's so based. 00:20:28 Speaker 3: He was just so good at it. So based. He was so good at just dissecting. We were joking about this yesterday. Like, I think a genuinely frustrating thing on the right that hurts us is it is common for people who are concerned. They get very invested in political outcomes, but they do it in a counterproductive way where they'll decide to not vote because they're scared they'll lose. And it's like if they vote for someone and that person loses, they just take it as a huge setback. And like, no, Charlie's so good at laying it out. Like you have a duty to vote, win or lose, because that is your obligation as a Christian. It's your obligation as a patriot. It's your obligation to fight for this country. It's about getting in the fight. If you're going to be defeated, you should be lying on the ground in your own blood and sweat. exhausted because you went all out. You should not be submitting to defeat because you decided, oh, it wasn't worth going. 00:21:20 Speaker 5: Out this time. 00:21:21 Speaker 8: And in the American political process, this is one of the geniuses of the founders of their many genius features of our republic, is that this is a midterm election. That means there's going to be another one in two years. And that includes the full House again, then another third of the Senate and the presidency. And then in 2030, we'll have another midterm election. 00:21:42 Speaker 5: And they continue. 00:21:43 Speaker 8: So The way to look at these things is to look at them in terms of a spectrum on where we are as a country. And Greer, of course, had his book, The White Pill, where he really goes back and talks about where we were in like 2012 and 2013 and 2014 and like the McCain Romney years as a movement pre-Trump. And people thought the Republicans were never going to come back. 00:22:07 Speaker 3: I remember jokes. People thought we were going extinct. I remember a National Review article after Obama got elected, and it was like a satirical article that speculated on the last Republican in the House. 00:22:17 Speaker 5: I remember this. 00:22:17 Speaker 3: I was looking to the future. Like, imagine, Republicans are just going to die out. permanent democrats forever i mean they had a filibuster proof majority even the worst outcome we could have today we're not going to have a filibuster proof democrat majority and. 00:22:29 Speaker 8: That's in and that's within recent these are those are like races i worked on it i worked on the i was on santorum's campaign in 2006 all right and you you take the pulse of the country and then you understand where they're at and then if you have to readjust you readjust and you move forward it's as simple as that. 00:22:46 Speaker 2: Well Today, we're giving Charlie his proper due. 100%. He was so good at this. He had this great tweet. I just lost it. 00:22:57 Speaker 7: Oh, wait. 00:22:58 Speaker 2: Here it is. This is perfect from Charlie. 166. Ignore the polls. Ignore the pundits. Ignore the betting markets. Ignore early voting numbers. Ignore those saying Kamala has seized momentum. Ignore those saying Trump has got this in the bag. Just vote. If you already voted, go find three people who haven't. If we show up, we win. It's that simple. It has always been that simple. An election day, I'm telling you, because I'm so deep in the numbers in Arizona, it is that simple. It is that simple. Please, please, please leave it all out on the field. Collapse at the finish line because you left it all on the field. If enough of us do that, we are going to have a very good day, and it doesn't matter what they do. It's as simple as that. It's as simple as that. Please vote. Begging you. 00:23:45 Speaker 5: Get in the line. 00:23:45 Speaker 3: Just get in the line. Get in the line! 00:23:49 Speaker 2: And then we could have an Andy Biggs governor in Arizona, Sununu in the Senate in New Hampshire, Mike Rogers in Michigan. It could be a really good day if we get out and vote. If not, we'll be crying tomorrow. 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If you are watchers of this show, if you are regulars in this audience, you know that I have a certain penchant, and Blake does too, to be perfectly fair, and that is we are real hardcore when it comes to immigration. 00:25:19 Speaker 3: To say the least. 00:25:20 Speaker 2: Real hardcore. It is one of the dumbest things that has happened to America. Over the decades of what we have allowed to happen when it comes to immigration. And one of the heroes of Trump 2.0, and frankly, long before that, is Borders Art Tom Homan, who joins us now. Borders Art, Mr. Borders Art, you are, I believe, an American treasure. You're a national treasure. We need to wrap you in bubble wrap and keep you safe. You have done amazing things when it comes to this administration and fixing things. this huge problem left to us by Democrats who very well could get power back today, at least in the legislative branch. Mr. Bordersar, tell us about why this is so important that we don't cede one inch back to these lunatics. 00:26:10 Speaker 7: Yeah, I appreciate it. First of all, I don't take credit for this. I give credit to the men and women wearing that green uniform down at the border, United States Border Patrol, and the men and women of ICE. Under President Trump's leadership, they have the most secure border In the history of the nation, never been more secure. ISIS arrested 1.3 million people. Illegal immigration downed. We got 2.3 less illegal immigrants, 2.3 million less illegal aliens in the country. Negative net migration from the first time in 50 years. President Trump's leadership has made this all happen. But here's what's on the line. The same party, the Democratic Party that was complicit in the invasion of our border, four years of historic illegal immigration, where those days were 12,000 illegal immigrants coming to our border, most of them released into the United States. Now we've had zero illegal immigrants under Trump released in almost 18 months. But here's that risk. The same party that's complicit in open borders and never, never rates all about, never tried to stop it. Now they want to abolish the agency that's responsible to find these people and deport them from the United States. So they haven't changed a bit. You know they're open borders people. You know they want to abolish ICE. That's what's going to happen if we don't maintain control. Our leverage fails. 00:27:33 Speaker 3: And you say they haven't changed at all. I would disagree. They've changed a lot. They've gotten more radical. Not only do they want to abolish ICE. We know what this would mean if they get full power back. They would want to undo the deportations we did. Not even say, we disliked how you did it or that it happened. They'll spend millions of dollars to go and find every illegal immigrant criminal in... in other countries and fly them back here and give them millions of dollars. 00:27:58 Speaker 2: They'll pay them reparations. 00:27:59 Speaker 3: They'll pay reparations. They'll have a reparations fund for that and for anyone who doesn't like white people in this country. That is how extreme the left has gotten at this point. 00:28:08 Speaker 7: The reason they're so rabid is because we're ruining their long-term plans. Look, they let millions and millions of illegal immigrants in this country, released them into the country illegally, by the way, Because they take their future Democratic voters, or they'll get another Democratic administration to come in and change the Trump census rule so we counter the next census, which equals what? Millions of illegal aliens in a sanctuary city is going to equal more Democratic seats in the House. They sold this country off to political power. And right now they're rabid because we're removing millions of them, and they can't stand it because this is a long-term plan. They sold this country off to future political power as we remove these illegal aliens. They see us removing future Democratic voters. That's why they're rapid. It's all about power. 00:28:56 Speaker 2: You're so right. And what you say, they're selling out the country. They're selling out our culture. They're selling out our kids' schools. They're selling out the DMV. They're selling out your emergency rooms. They're selling out your health care. They're selling out the budget. They're blowing deficits out of the water. They're selling out all of it. And for what? Pure, raw political power. I want to rattle off some of these wins here. And some of the numbers you might have updated numbers on, but you said 1.3 million arrests and deportations by ICE. That's historic. People don't understand how hard that was to do. 2.5 million self-deportations. H-1Bs have gone from 130,000 to 35,000. Asylum claims dropped from 60 to 30,000. Student visas from 155,000 to 40,000. Muslim immigration down 96%. A decline of foreign-born population of almost 3 million people. That's never been done in living memory, okay? These are massive, massive. Border crossings declined by over 90%. Border Patrol has set two lowest records for apprehensions At the border in the last two years. Fentanyl overdoses are dropping like a rock. And don't forget, this is all linked to overall crime. Murder rates down to the lowest level per capita since 1900. Violent crime is dropping all across the country. There are 5,000 more people alive today because of the drop in violent crime. 00:30:18 Speaker 3: Just in murders. 00:30:18 Speaker 2: Just in murders. 00:30:19 Speaker 3: Tens of thousands due to the drop in fentanyl deaths. 00:30:22 Speaker 2: That all came over the border. ODs. This is so massive and so sweeping, the success that the Trump administration is. 00:30:29 Speaker 7: Mr. 00:30:29 Speaker 2: Borders, my biggest fear is that because we have memories like a goldfish in this country, that because it's no longer a problem at the border, we're not seeing those caravans sweeping through. We're not seeing just the rush at the border, that it's not animating. It's not invigorating the voting base the way it would and the way it did in 2024 because we don't see those images anymore. And so that's why I wanted to have you on to keep screaming it from the rooftops. Base, get out and vote. We need a huge Election Day turnout so that guys like Tom Homan can continue doing their job unabated and with just gas, just, you know, full pedal to the metal. So, Mr. Homan, whatever you want to tell our audience right now about why, you know, Democrats are going to get in your way, what you want to do in the next two years, the floor is yours, sir. 00:31:20 Speaker 7: Well, first of all, I want the American people to understand, don't forget the divisions. Don't forget what you saw during the Biden administration. We had, again, up to 12,000 illegal aliens rushed our border. And the last administration released from the country. Don't forget those images of soldiers and border patrol agents being pushed aside while they came in. And here is the issue. Out of all the hundreds of thousands and 1.3 million people that ICE arrested, over half of them are criminals. ICE has arrested and removed hundreds of thousands of public safety threats from this country in less than two years. If the Democrats get power, they're going to squeeze ICE for every dollar. They're going to have hearing after hearing after hearing. They're going to put more radical judges in place. Right now, we have over 85,000 habeas cases filed by radical judges. Aliens we arrested were forced to release by a federal judge. Now we got to go find them again. We got over a hundred nationwide injunctions issued by radical judges. Who puts those judges in place? The Senate. So we got to maintain control of Congress to continue doing what we're doing. You said it the best. What's the best thing about a secure border? A secure border means we got stronger national security, less fatness coming in to kill Americans, less sex trafficking in women and children. less national security cases coming across that border and being released. This is what a secure border is. ISIS is out there every day, arresting as many people as can. And when we heard an additional 3,000 agents are currently in the pipeline, next year's numbers will blow out this year's numbers, but we got to maintain control. For those Republicans out there to say, I'm not going to vote, I'm pissed off about gas prices, I'm pissed off about the war. When you don't vote, that just gives another vote to the Democratic Party. You can't look yourself in the mirror and say you're better under Democratic leadership. Don't forget the images. Don't forget the angel families. Thousands of parents in this country buried their children because their child was killed by an illegal alien that's not supposed to appear. Don't forget the images. Don't forget the angel families. And don't forget the historic success the Trump administration has had on the border and interior enforcement. We can keep our foot on the gasp. But we need to get you to the voting booth and vote the right way. 00:33:45 Speaker 2: Yeah, amen. I genuinely think sometimes, Mr. Homan, that so many in this country don't understand the historic nature of the interior enforcement that this administration has been able to accomplish. We've never had this many ICE agents. 00:34:01 Speaker 3: They told us it was impossible to do what this administration did. did so easily that if we lose today, it's going to be because voters. 00:34:11 Speaker 4: They. 00:34:11 Speaker 3: Banished it from memory how bad things were because they fixed it so completely. 00:34:15 Speaker 2: Yes. Yeah, it's truly historic. And maybe give us a glimpse, Mr. Homan, of what you think can be accomplished in the next two years if we have a really big Election Day surge and we get out to the polls and we keep power, especially in the Senate. What do you think this DHS... the CBP and ICE agents are going to be able to accomplish in the next two years? 00:34:39 Speaker 7: Well, first of all, we have the most secure border in the history of the nation. There are some gaps to fill. We still got some border wall to build. But by the end of this Trump administration, in the next two years, we would have built every mile of wall that we needed. And not just wall, border barriers, technology. So we can have that most secure border and it will be maintained secure. The only way you're going to lose security in that border, if another president comes in and issues executive orders, opening that border up. And that's what, this is what American people need to understand. The success we've had in that border is based on executive orders by President Trump. Congress hasn't done a damn thing. So if a Democratic president comes in, he can simply undo it with a stroke of a pen. But you're not going to be able to beat the barriers. Once we get those barriers out, they're going to last forever. But river barriers, walls, technology, giving the border to the ability to communicate with one another. That's what we're going to do in the next few years on the border. Also in the interior, like I said, we've got 3,000 more agents that are in the hiring pipeline. We'll put more on the street. Our cooperation with 287G is at an all-time high. We've got over 2,200 agreements with state and local law enforcement. And we won't get back to a whole federal commission concentrating on this. If you think this year's numbers are good, you wait until next year. But only if people get out and keep the Republicans in power. 00:36:00 Speaker 2: It's really that simple. Do you want your country back? We were invaded. And we're fighting for sovereignty. Do you want to keep it in your hands? You've gotten it back. Just don't throw it away again. Yeah. 00:36:12 Speaker 7: Mr. 00:36:12 Speaker 2: Bordersart, God bless you. We have your back. Like I said at the beginning, you're an American hero and a national treasure, and we're going to wrap you in bubble wrap. Make sure you get to keep doing the great work that you're doing in supporting our great men and women in ICE, DHS, CBP, and the like. Thank you for your time today, sir. 00:36:30 Speaker 7: And we'll see you in December in Phoenix, Arizona. 00:36:33 Speaker 2: That's right. We should count that, AmFest. In the next segment, we're going to promote it. God bless you, sir. We'll talk to you soon. We hinted at it in the previous segment, and we're going to be doing some deep dives on whatever early return data we can get in just a second. But we got to tell you about this flash sale for AmFest. So I know so many of you in this audience love AmFest. You come every year. Well, here's the time to buy your tickets. We're doing a flash sale, an election day flash sale. Throw up 136. I think that's our graphic. Look at that. $ 20 and 20. You're never going to get a deal this good. 00:37:14 Speaker 3: You're not. 00:37:14 Speaker 2: You are not. This is the best deal that will ever be had on an AmFest ticket. $ 20. 26 just for today. 00:37:21 Speaker 3: I think the days of 1776 general admissions sale passes are probably past us. Now it's 2026. 00:37:27 Speaker 1: 2026. 00:37:27 Speaker 2: There you go. $ 3. 00:37:29 Speaker 3: That could buy you like three snicker bars at. 00:37:31 Speaker 4: A gas station. 00:37:32 Speaker 2: So check it out today. AmFest is massive. It is the best event in the conservative movement. It is going to be such an important event this year. We are going to be charting the course for 2028. Win, lose, or draw today. AmFest is going to be critically important. We're going to be doing straw polls, best speakers in the movement. I don't know what 137 is, but you can throw that one out too. 00:37:53 Speaker 3: And we're going to be having debates because we know there are issues that are dividing the conservative movement that are causing drama. And the way to resolve those is with good faith, reasoned debate. It's not going to be with crazy. 00:38:07 Speaker 2: They can get heated. 00:38:08 Speaker 3: Yeah, they might get heated. But as long as it's in good faith, we can handle that. 00:38:12 Speaker 8: Yep. 00:38:12 Speaker 2: Absolutely. 00:38:13 Speaker 3: As long as you're doing it for the good of this country and for the good of the conservative movement, you have a place to make your case. 00:38:20 Speaker 1: You know that you are part of the most exciting, diverse, powerful movement in the history of this country. 00:38:31 Speaker 4: And this movement. 00:38:34 Speaker 1: This movement is not about Republican or Democrat. This movement is not about conservative or liberal. 00:38:41 Speaker 4: This movement. 00:38:43 Speaker 1: Is about the citizens versus the oligarchs. This movement is about we the people versus the ruling class. This movement is about America versus the globalists. This movement is about all of us against them. 00:39:03 Speaker 7: Amen. 00:39:04 Speaker 2: Here's our AmFest promo. Stop one. 00:39:08 Speaker 1: Do you know you are part of something bigger than yourself? You know that you are part of the most exciting, diverse, powerful movement in the history. 00:39:19 Speaker 4: Of this country. 00:39:22 Speaker 10: The biggest stage in conservative America is back. 00:39:25 Speaker 7: Four days. 00:39:26 Speaker 10: The biggest names. The biggest ideas. and the loudest crowd in America. Featuring Vice President J.D. Vance, Erica Kirk, Donald Trump Jr., Caroline Leavitt, Jesse Waters, Tulsi Gabbard, Spencer Pratt, Representative Brandon Gill, Representative Anna Paulina Luna, Brandon Tatum, Michael Knowles, Steve Bannon, Dr. Ben Carson, Franklin. 00:39:52 Speaker 4: Gray, and more. 00:39:54 Speaker 10: This is where we defend the values that built this country and build what comes next. Register now at amfest.com. 00:40:04 Speaker 2: And if you do it today, it's $ 20. 00:40:05 Speaker 1: 26. 00:40:06 Speaker 2: So this is our big Election Day special. So check it out today. Let's turn our attention to Michigan. Now, this is a race I'm going to be watching very, very closely. Already some early tape from early voters on Election Day saying they're switching to Mike Rogers. This is a remarkable piece of tape because this is CNN. These voters are Democrats who definitely know where CNN sits ideologically, and they're willing to put their name and their face to their vote. That tells me a lot about how strong this movement actually is after the Haley Stevens endorsement, SOT7. 00:40:41 Speaker 11: So you voted for Stevens in the primary, but now you went Republican. 00:40:44 Speaker 7: Yes. 00:40:45 Speaker 2: That's a pretty bold message. 00:40:47 Speaker 4: Yeah. 00:40:48 Speaker 11: So tell me who you voted for for Senate. 00:40:51 Speaker 12: Mike Rogers. 00:40:51 Speaker 3: Okay. 00:40:52 Speaker 9: And have you voted for Republican in the past? 00:40:54 Speaker 7: Never. 00:40:56 Speaker 1: So what is the significance of that vote today? 00:41:01 Speaker 4: Draw your own conclusions. 00:41:03 Speaker 11: Why could you not vote for Al Saeed? 00:41:06 Speaker 4: Um, because I'm against hate. 00:41:11 Speaker 2: I mean, that is spoken like a true Democrat, that his rationale for opposing El-Sayed is that he's against hate. But by the way, this is not the only clip like this that we have from the liberal press. Sot 6. 00:41:23 Speaker 12: Kaylee Devery says she'll now be voting for Mike Rogers because of Stephen's endorsement. It's almost like her endorsing him is giving people permission to change their minds. You're allowed to change party sides and, and, and vote for who you think will be best for Michigan and not necessarily just vote straight ticket. 00:41:42 Speaker 2: That is a very interesting race to watch. I will tell you that, you know, we showed the New York times poll from yesterday. They have it at 11 point separation in El Syed's favor. I'm telling you, I've been calling my sources up there on that race. They have that thing with Mike Rogers ahead. Their internal polls have Mike Rogers ahead. So they, We'll see what happens. Now, that's a state I think structurally is going to advantage the Democrat. But if if past is prologue, then remind you, let's let's remind you of what happened in that primary where the polls had him up between 10 and 19 points. Haley Stevens lost by a single point. I think there could be a sleeper in that Michigan race where people just don't want to vote for him. He's smug. He's arrogant. He's pretentious. He's condescending. He's 5'6. He's got little man syndrome. Even John Fetterman keeps calling him out for this. Spencer Pratt's been calling him out. Calls him an elf on a shelf. There's something about this guy that really, I think, turns off people. When they talk to the pollsters, they know they're supposed to say, I'm going to vote for El-Sayed because they don't want to be bigoted, especially Democrats. They really value that. They don't want to be a hater. You heard it from that clip. But they could be turning that vote around in the privacy of that polling booth today. They could be saying, you know what? I can't do it. I just can't bring myself to vote for this guy. Maybe it's because he's Muslim. Maybe it's because... The blacks and the Muslims have tension in places like Detroit, in Flint, in Wayne County. 00:43:12 Speaker 7: Why? 00:43:13 Speaker 2: Because the Arabs tend to own the bodegas and the shops that they go to. And there is tension between those two communities. Maybe that's going to end up reflecting in a massive way when it comes to exit polls and what we actually see getting returned. 00:43:25 Speaker 3: We've had ugly elections where a well-run or badly run local race, it changes the course of this country. Remember, 2018 was an ugly year in the House. We lost a ton of seats, lost the House. But we actually gained in the Senate because Rick Scott heroically, he took down an incumbent Democrat senator. In a Democrat wave year, in a swing state, his waves carried Ron DeSantis over the finish line, who only eked it out a few thousand votes. 00:43:54 Speaker 2: He wins. 00:43:56 Speaker 3: Massive ramifications for this country because now Florida has had two terms of incredibly good conservative government. It was amazing during COVID. It became the sanctuary for the right. It's become a laboratory for the right. So many wins came out of that well-run Senate race. What if we get something like that? Maybe this is an ugly day. But we cling to the Senate because El-Sayed couldn't help himself from alienating other Democrats, alienating their black base. Mike Rogers ran a good campaign and reached out to those people. Maybe he'll be the one who ekes it out by 5,000 votes in a bad year. 00:44:27 Speaker 2: And I'm telling you, just a quick touch point on Florida right now. The numbers coming out of Florida right now are absolutely bonkers. We're talking presidential margins during a midterm. So any advantage they had, the Democrats, in making that close, the turnout– is really, really good, really, really strong in Florida. $ 28 may not sound like much, but to a scared mother considering abortion, it can help provide something incredibly important, a real opportunity to pause and see her baby for the first time. Today, a woman facing an unexpected pregnancy can reach for her phone, search for abortion pills, and have the pills delivered directly to her home. She can move from fear toward abortion incredibly quickly. But your gift can help create another opportunity. For just $ 28, you can help provide a free ultrasound through Preborn Network Clinic. There, a woman can see her baby, receive compassionate support from people who will listen, and consider another choice before abortion becomes her answer. And when women see their babies on ultrasound, 80% choose life. Let me repeat. 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Give us a sense of what you're seeing so far. We're at 11 a.m. mountain time right now on election day. 00:46:47 Speaker 13: Yeah, we're still, I mean, it's still early. So we're taking in, ingesting the data. So for the audience to really understand there's a couple of different ways that ballots are, are turned in on election day. You have people that are hanging on to mail ballots that are dropping off. 00:47:04 Speaker 4: You have people who are showing up to vote in person, the old school way. 00:47:08 Speaker 13: And then you have people who are voting, uh, in some, in some cases, uh, scanning ballots, their mailing ballots at the, at the polling sites, uh, here in Arizona, we have all three of those ways. So the, the people who drop off ballots late, we don't typically figure out who, who they voted for until, uh, days from now, which is unfortunate. That's hundreds of thousands of people. And then the same thing happens in a lot. 00:47:34 Speaker 4: Of the states. 00:47:35 Speaker 13: So places like Florida, where we're tracking right now, seems to be a healthy turnout of Republicans, where they don't have a ton of that because they have pretty locked down elections. But again, states like Arizona, Nevada, Michigan, other places where you have a ton of mail-in votes, that get dropped off and get counted late. You have, you know, potentially days after the election, if it's close where you're not going to really know what's going on. 00:48:05 Speaker 3: So right now, and then it's really going to matter with our operation because you'll have like ballot curing. We have that operation starting up already. 00:48:12 Speaker 13: The more mail-in ballots that you have, the more curing you do because ballot curing means that when people miss putting a signature on their ballot or they sign it. 00:48:21 Speaker 5: Wrong or they put the wrong dates or. 00:48:24 Speaker 13: Things like that, that all those things can lead it to go to put in a separate pile where they have to be verified to make sure that the actual voter was the one that cast the vote. And so, yeah, you've got, you know, that adds on tax on even more time before ballots are counted because of that. 00:48:40 Speaker 4: So, yeah. 00:48:41 Speaker 13: So right now, general consensus is that I think people I think that the clear determining factor here is that this is not a blue wave. This is not an election where it looks like Republicans are getting slaughtered. in some of the most competitive places with turnout. The big question now is, is the turnout good enough for Republicans to be able to eke out some wins? And right now, in most of the states, a lot of turnout numbers are looking more similar to 2022, which, again, as a reminder, 2022 wasn't necessarily a great year for us. we were expecting the red wave and huge numbers and it ended up being kind of a red trickle yeah so I mean there's some good and bad to that which is number one there's probably not going to be a scenario where Republicans surprise everyone and win out everything But you do have a capacity to surprise and shock because it's a little bit closer, a little bit more similar in composition to that 2022 election right now, as we're seeing. But again, that's that's also with the asterisk because. 00:49:55 Speaker 4: We're not seeing everything everywhere. We're not seeing. 00:49:59 Speaker 13: The late drop offs, the votes that aren't being reported or tabulated. Some states like New Hampshire, where we're at, we're seeing signs of huge turnout. 00:50:09 Speaker 1: Yeah. 00:50:10 Speaker 4: But nobody reports how many numbers throughout the day. 00:50:14 Speaker 13: So we're only going to really know that information at the end of the day. 00:50:18 Speaker 2: Yeah, and that's what's interesting. So there's differences. So, for example, I want to draw your attention to a couple things. I know this may seem bizarre, but Guam had a flip, right? So Guam just elected a Republican. It's not a state. It's a territory. But here's what's interesting about this. The polls had him way down. Like, it was... He was... According to the local polls. 00:50:41 Speaker 3: I'm surprised they don't even polls Guam. 00:50:43 Speaker 2: Yeah, but, like, he was not supposed to win at all. And this guy, Tony Atta, just won the governorship of Guam. So that's a fairly interesting. 00:50:55 Speaker 13: And the interesting part about that is there's a ton of members of the military in Guam. So this concept that everyone's ticked off about the Iran war and everything else. 00:51:05 Speaker 5: Typically you would expect. 00:51:07 Speaker 13: that a Republican wouldn't win in a place where maybe the military is really upset with the government. And so there's a little bit of a lining here, and not to read too deeply into absolutely everything, but there's a little bit of a lining with the Guam governorship is that maybe perhaps people aren't as upset about the Iran conflict as the media would make you think. 00:51:29 Speaker 2: Well, so check this out. So there's a couple of other things that I'm looking at here. Nevada is just a state we're very active in. 00:51:36 Speaker 12: Yep. 00:51:37 Speaker 2: They, it looks like, so if you compare the election day, 2024 to 2026, so that was a presidential to, to a, uh, midterm, but in the presidential state that Trump ended up carrying, it was our plus 0.8 at this point in 2024 election day on election day. And right now it's our plus 8.2. 00:51:59 Speaker 4: Yeah. 00:52:00 Speaker 5: And Republicans started strong today. Uh, so it's come down a little bit. 00:52:04 Speaker 13: So in Nevada, we started, we were about our 10 at the beginning of the day. Now we're about our eight. Uh, but yeah, it's a good sign. Uh, now again, the big deal is, is that there were a lot more early votes cast this time in Nevada. So Nevada is becoming more open to the early voting process. So there were a lot more early and mail-in votes cast than 2022, uh, to the tune of, uh, like 150% more. 00:52:27 Speaker 11: Wow. 00:52:27 Speaker 13: So, So you're going to have lower turnout on Election Day, probably because, you know, at least from Democrats, because that's historically what happens. But it's a good sign for Republicans if Republicans show up today. 00:52:41 Speaker 8: Right. 00:52:41 Speaker 2: Well, here's another thing that we're looking. Check this out. This is Dave Wasserman, not exactly a conservative here. He says, if Dems were hoping favorable early voting patterns would extend into Election Day, that's not happening in Florida, where E-Day vote turnout is tracking much lower. and he puts asterisks around it, by the way, this is 176, puts asterisks around it, more GOP. Right now, the GOP return is 51 to 26, and the early vote was almost tied at 40-38. So this is a huge early sign. Now, we've had, I remember the red trickle year, 2022, Florida outperformed everywhere else. But this is a great sign because we were legitimately, at times in this election, very fearful about Byron Donalds. and potentially having Angie Nixon, DSA Angie Nixon, as a senator. Now, she's been down in all the polls, but this is great, great signs out of Florida. So you got Guam, you got Nevada, you got Florida. Check this out. So Tyler is getting live reports. He's probably texting with somebody out of New Hampshire right now. This is 177. Gronkowski is on the ground saying, Gronk says voting good. Vote Sununu Senator. So that's Rob Gronkowski. Gronk. Out trying to mobilize people. There's a lot of, almost like a festive air in New Hampshire. 00:54:02 Speaker 13: So we've seen Gronk that's been there. Danny Amendola. 00:54:07 Speaker 2: Wow. 00:54:07 Speaker 13: From the Patriots. We've seen who else has been on the ground there. We've seen, we've heard that Mike Tyson is in New Hampshire today. So there's a lot of people there. running around New Hampshire, New Hampshire is becoming kind of this release. You could see near, I think you're going to see somewhere in between 2022 and 2024 turnout results. Some of our people on the ground are saying it looks like 2024 at the polling places, which it's not going to be, it's not going to be presidential turnout, but higher turnout. 00:54:45 Speaker 5: Tends to be a little bit more Republican. 00:54:48 Speaker 13: So if you're if you're the Republican Party, a little bit more turnout means that we're matching the Democrats and their turnout. 00:54:56 Speaker 4: And that's a good thing. 00:54:57 Speaker 2: I want to show you a picture out of Hennepin County. This is a real poll worker and wearing a problem solved T-shirt. Now, as far as we know, this is not a math teacher, but I don't know what the what would be the possible justification for wearing a blood stained white shirt. As a poll worker on election day. It's not Halloween. Halloween's done. 00:55:21 Speaker 3: It's not Halloween anymore. I don't even know if they're a math teacher. So you remember this drama last year with this shirt. And it was a shirt that pre-existed. And they were math teachers. Did any of them realize this and go with it anyway? You can't rule it out. But they had plausible deniability. 00:55:34 Speaker 2: But yeah. 00:55:35 Speaker 3: If they're at a poll worker. Where it's going to confuse people. It's going to upset people. I'd be very interested in finding out if this person is even a teacher. Because if they're not. I think they lack the excuse for why they would be wearing that shirt. 00:55:50 Speaker 2: This should infuriate you. Hennepin County has apparently been informed about it, and this is what they said. This is from Liz Collin, who's a friend of the show. She comes on, says, you know, most workers at polling places in Hennepin County are election judges hired by the municipality. We have forwarded this concern to the city clerk and Rogers for review. 00:56:11 Speaker 3: You know, whatever. 00:56:13 Speaker 2: We expect it to be free of intimidation. This is obscene. Go Michelle Tafoya. There's a couple races, Tyler, and I'd be curious your take on this, that I'm really looking at. I really want Sununu. I really want Mike Rodgers. I really, really would love to see Flanagan not become a senator because I think she's a walking, talking mediocrity that is violent. 00:56:40 Speaker 13: Flanagan actually might be the most radical person that's running, actually, in this cycle. She's totally flown underneath the radar. 00:56:47 Speaker 3: More radical than Nixon? Or whoever, the Democrat in Florida? 00:56:51 Speaker 2: Angie Nixon. 00:56:51 Speaker 5: I mean, I don't think Nixon. 00:56:53 Speaker 13: The most radical that actually has a shot to win. 00:56:56 Speaker 4: Nixon never had a shot. 00:56:57 Speaker 3: But, I mean, you have. 00:56:59 Speaker 13: You have a real situation there. And Minnesotans are catching on to that. 00:57:04 Speaker 2: Yeah. 00:57:04 Speaker 13: But I don't know if if Tafoya had enough money to be able to make enough people aware of that and turn out enough people, especially in this election year. So, I mean, yeah, I mean, look, it's what we're calling blue state revenge. I think we actually have those of us that are in swing states or red states. actually are a little bit padded from this. I think in states where they're bluer states, Republicans are actually more apt to show up and cast their vote. 00:57:29 Speaker 2: Yeah, because they're living under the tyranny of the left right now. 00:57:32 Speaker 13: Well, they're getting the worst of everything. I mean, Californians are in the worst place that they possibly could be. 00:57:37 Speaker 4: Higher gas prices. 00:57:37 Speaker 2: That's one of the ones I'm looking at. Prop 39. Can we get voter ID over the finish line? 00:57:42 Speaker 13: Yeah, you've got voter ID in California. You've got the governor's race in Oregon. You've got the Tafoya race in Minnesota. 00:57:50 Speaker 2: Susan Collins in Maine. 00:57:52 Speaker 13: You've got Susan Collins in Maine, Sanunu in New Hampshire. Although I would say Maine and New Hampshire are a little bit more swing state. 00:57:59 Speaker 4: Yeah. 00:58:00 Speaker 13: But I mean, look, in upstate Maine, that's, that's almost a certain GOP flip for Congress. 00:58:09 Speaker 2: Yeah. 00:58:09 Speaker 4: That's there where we have. 00:58:11 Speaker 2: That main one. Yep. 00:58:13 Speaker 4: LePage. 00:58:13 Speaker 13: And so you have a scenario that's, that's pulling out here where it's like the blue or the state, maybe a. 00:58:20 Speaker 5: Little bit more of a bump that Republicans are getting. The question is, is it enough to actually win? 00:58:25 Speaker 13: And that may not be the case in Minnesota. That may not be the case in Oregon. However, I think people will look at that and go, oh my gosh, we're closer than we thought we would be. And then Democrats really should be spending that. Some of this is because Democrats have abandoned those states. 00:58:40 Speaker 2: Yeah, they're spending, by the way, they're spending in Kansas. They're spending in Nebraska. They're spending in Iowa. They're spending like crazy in Texas. 00:58:47 Speaker 12: Yeah. 00:58:48 Speaker 2: One of the things that I'm watching for today is have Democrats spread their resources too thin and too many places. 00:58:54 Speaker 13: If you ask me where I stand right now, I don't think you're going to have dramatic surprises. 00:58:58 Speaker 4: I don't think you're going to. 00:58:59 Speaker 13: Have deeper blue states flip red, and I don't think you're going to have deeper red states totally flip blue. So I think Kansas is probably going to be fine. 00:59:08 Speaker 4: I think Oregon. 00:59:10 Speaker 2: About Zach. 00:59:10 Speaker 4: We're going to Minnesota. We're not Henson. 00:59:13 Speaker 13: I really think this, this is a margins election. That's kind of similar to 2022 or 2022, where it's. 00:59:20 Speaker 4: Like, we, this is a battle. 00:59:23 Speaker 13: It's swinging a little bit more to the left this time, rather than swinging to the right in 2022, but it's all margins. And so, The good news is the Republicans have spent significantly, but it's probably been just enough to make up for the fact that we were down. 00:59:36 Speaker 2: So we'll see things close and narrow. The gaps tighten. So this isn't going to be like a blowout of plus 14 in Texas, but if we can get a plus one or a plus two for a Paxton, if we can get Marshall over the line with a plus three or four in Kansas. 00:59:51 Speaker 4: Alaska. Yeah, Alaska plus two. 00:59:54 Speaker 13: And I think the Alaska thing, too, we haven't talked about it, but the Alaska thing with the– everybody named Dan Sullivan. 01:00:00 Speaker 5: Decoy Dan. 01:00:02 Speaker 13: Yeah, I think Decoy Dan actually has left a bad taste in the mouth of independents. So I think the Democrats have done some things that have really left bad taste in the mouth of independents. I think what you're going to see coming out of this is independents not... I mean, some of the insane pollsters and people are talking, they're like, oh yeah, plus 40 for Dems and with Indies. I just don't think that that's going to be the outcome. Again, are we going to see enough... you know, parity between independents like we did in 2024 for Republicans to compete in some of these super competitive places and blue states. 01:00:38 Speaker 5: I don't know. 01:00:40 Speaker 13: We'll have an analysis after lunch here to determine how things are looking, particularly in Arizona and Nevada. 01:00:46 Speaker 2: I was going to say, so again, I'm not trying to get the cart before the horse here. We've got to wait probably till about noon on the Arizona numbers to really see where we're at. So this is all wet cement. I'm not trying to ask for too much. That being said, we started off the show. I actually did Steve Bannon's show at the end and said, hey, it's good, but it's not good enough. It's not good enough yet to win. 01:01:07 Speaker 3: Or if you prefer, because we got an email complaining that we phrased it that way, it's good, but we can make it better. 01:01:12 Speaker 2: There you go. The point is you got a text from a source in our break that says the turnout is really picking up. Tell us what you can surmise from that, and I don't want to divulge too much or betray anybody's trust. But what can you what are you hearing? 01:01:31 Speaker 7: Yeah. 01:01:31 Speaker 13: So I actually just got some insider information on where we're at. It looks like Maricopa County is actually catching up a little bit. 01:01:38 Speaker 7: Good. 01:01:40 Speaker 13: So, again, every election is different where you have some years, you know, you boom early in the morning and there's the fight or there's some pent up. 01:01:47 Speaker 4: You know, whatever. 01:01:48 Speaker 2: Yeah. 01:01:50 Speaker 13: With more early voting, there's less pent up election morning, in my opinion. Republicans historically do really, really well, and numbers do really, really well in the afternoons because that's when people get off work. And this isn't everywhere, but mornings on Election Day, Democrats in competitive places, Democrats do a little bit better because teachers and so on, they usually go before. 01:02:13 Speaker 5: Work, and then they go to work. Republicans usually go to work, and then they go vote. 01:02:19 Speaker 2: They get off, and then they go vote. Yeah, and so we've seen that. Basically... We're R plus 20, R plus 21 in the early drops in Maricopa. We want to see that number get to like R30, even R35 as the day goes on. If we get there and we get that sheer volume, the raw vote tally up, up towards that maybe 275,000 Republicans vote to 50,000, whatever it ends up being, we have a really good shot. 01:02:42 Speaker 13: Yeah, I mean, I think if you get to the ballpark of R plus 30, you're in a good spot and you're in ballpark of what you were in 2022. 01:02:49 Speaker 12: Yeah. 01:02:51 Speaker 13: Because, again, remember, Republicans did better in the early vote than we did in 2022 right now. But the big question is, is to have Indies abandon you more than 2022? 01:03:00 Speaker 2: Exactly. But just remember, they said the polls were going to be, you know, D plus 10, D plus 12. And here we are on Election Day beating them in registered voters. We don't know how it's going to turn out. We don't. But we're leaving it all on the field. And you need to turn out and vote, Tyler Boyer. Go back and do your work. 01:03:16 Speaker 3: Go vote. 01:03:16 Speaker 4: Go vote. 01:03:19 Speaker 2: An important message from Noble Gold Investments. November 3rd, control of Congress is on the line, and whatever happens, your savings are going to feel it. If Democrats take power, we could be looking at years of gridlock, followed by the same policies that fueled inflation before. More spending, bigger deficits, and a weaker dollar. We lived through this already. In June 2022, inflation was out of control and unchecked. Now, the national debt is over $ 40 trillion, and Washington isn't slowing down. What has gold done since 2022? 01:03:47 Speaker 5: Doubled. 01:03:50 Speaker 2: Up over 100%. That's right. You can't control what happens on election day. You can control how prepared you are. That's why so many Americans are turning to physical gold and silver. Visit noblegoldinvestments.com slash Kirk. That's noblegoldinvestments.com slash Kirk and download your free wealth protection kit. noblegoldinvestments.com slash Kirk. Is your wealth protected? If not, now is the time to act. Past performance does not guarantee future results. We've got Alex Marlowe, editor in chief of Breitbart and host of the Alex Marlowe show. Alex, it's a big day and you've been covering elections for a long time. So I want, give our audience perspective. That's what we need right now. Perspective, right? So you've covered it. I mean, you've been covering politics since, I mean, I think the Bush era and covering all of these elections with Andrew Breitbart. Um, how do you see this election shaping up? Is this a wave year? Are you seeing the blue tsunami? Are you, what are you seeing out there on the landscape? 01:04:55 Speaker 9: First of all, let me give a, thank you for having me as always guys. And a big shout out to Charlie. I thought about him a lot today and yesterday, and it is really nice to be on, on his show because it is, he's someone we needed today and that he was taken from us. It's certainly an extra inspiration for me today. Try to make sure everyone in my, And my life gets out to vote. So credit to you guys for continuing to wave the flag, fly the flag in a very important way. So let me give you my context for this election. So here's what I'm excited about today. And I maintain a lot of optimism. A lot of the polling that we see is based off of this thing called a generic ballot. And this basically is D or R. But that's not really what this election is. This election is a lot of very normal R's versus a lot of very crazy D's. And that gives me a huge level of hope. The level of hope is because I don't honestly feel like Maine is going to kick out Susan Collins, who always is terribly in the polls and always does very well on election day for a guy who impregnated his own cousin. I don't really see that happening. I don't really see a oil state going for a, a feminine guy like James Tallarico, who wants to trans all the children and doesn't like the fossil fuel industry and and uses the story of the virgin birth of Jesus Christ to justify the mass genocide of children in the womb via abortion. I just don't see it happening. I don't see a guy who minimized terror, Abdul El-Sayed, against a synagogue, Jewish children getting slaughtered by a guy inspired by Hezbollah, as hurt people hurting people. I don't honestly see Michigan voting for a guy like that. And then in Alaska, where they are undermining our democracy, subverting our democracy with blatant cheating, where they put a decoy Dan Sullivan on the ballot because they're trying to deceive the voters. I can't picture the Democrats running a perfect straight on that. Maybe one of them gets through, maybe a couple. But can you guys honestly picture all those races going Democrat? 01:06:54 Speaker 7: I can't. 01:06:54 Speaker 9: And so that's where the generic ballot thing comes off as like, well, it's not generic. These are very not generic candidates the Democrats chose to run. If they had had normal people to run and had run them, they'd be in a lot better position today. Now, I could be wrong about all this, and maybe all the polls are right and all the betting markets are right and Republicans have a bad night. I don't think that's going to be true. I think Republicans are going to overperform. But let's say they don't. Then the next two years, all we do is talk nonstop about how the Democrats have turned themselves into a freak show. And that's all we're going to talk about as we head into the Vance Rubio election of 2028. 01:07:27 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, that's what we're staring at. Absolutely. At the top of Breitbart right now, Alex, you have exclusive John McLaughlin establishment pollsters, quote, try to discourage us so that we don't vote. This is a off talk, a talked about thing on the right is these demoralization ops, right? These suppression polls. You know, you guys are looking into this at Breitbart like nobody else. What are you seeing when it comes to these polling averages, right? We saw the New York Times put out that, you know, El Sayed is up 11 on Mike Rogers. When I'm hearing from the folks over there, that they have Mike Rogers pulling this thing out. I mean, how can we be so far apart? 01:08:08 Speaker 4: Exactly. 01:08:09 Speaker 9: And it's almost too delicious to think about how much fun it's going to be if the blue wave doesn't hit just because you dunk on the betting market industry, you dunk on the polling industry, you dunk on all of the freak show on X, the everything app from the left, just the rage. You've seen the rage at little Haley Stevens yesterday. It was just unbelievable to see those guys have a bad night, how much fun that would be. The New York Times had their big article out where they were trying to find all the Jews who are voting for El-Sayed in Michigan, and they're putting fake names on there with sexual references in there. The media has been so disgraceful, and social media has been just as bad. I monitor the dials on what's trending online, as well as just about anyone, I would say, to lead Breitbart And it is so overwhelming how the left turned out their digital army and the right just cannot control it. in this regard. But is this an election where normal people who are not liking what they're seeing from the Democrats, are they going to come out and they're going to support these radical people versus kind of normal Republican slate? And that's, I think, one of the big questions that we have. So here's the thing with the polls. We know, and the New York Times admitted this, working-class Republican males are not responding to polls. This is often the case, but more so this year than before. So I do think the polls are undersampling Republicans. The question is, are they undersampling them a point, two point, three point, four point, maybe even more? And that's what we're going to learn tonight. 01:09:36 Speaker 2: I think the undersampling, I think the modeling, here's what I can tell you. Having seen inside a dashboard of how you model an electorate, there are about five or six really important knobs you can twist one way or the other. It's a multivariant equation. When they're trying to sample and size an electorate and then right-size it when they don't get enough Republicans responding, they're making so many assumptions, so many assumptions. And these people, I mean, I'm sorry, you can make many, many wrong assumptions. It doesn't matter how good you are at the data. This is why people missed the Thomas Massey race. This is why people missed Lots of different races, frankly. Going back to 2024, if you look at where some of the New York Times had Trump in swing states like Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, they missed on a lot of these things because you're forced to make assumptions because people simply do not respond to polls the right way. So I think this is something that Republicans need to ingest deeply and internalize that it doesn't matter. Both sides have enough votes in a midterm to win. That is something we have said over and over and over again. You get 160 million votes in a general for presidential. You get about 100 million for a midterm. So everybody's got enough votes on the table. It's about who can turn out their normal R's versus their crazy D's. That's exactly what it is. I think that's a really, really well said. 01:10:59 Speaker 4: Alex, go ahead. 01:11:00 Speaker 9: Yeah, and by you as well. And this is one thing that we are witnessing a massive demoralization effort, and it's important to flag it today. Because if it works, Republicans need to get better about dealing with it. And if it doesn't work, we need to put it in these people's faces that they were doing this. They're running this op. It's all a big op. It's all legal, but it's all a big op. With the exception of Alaska, that should not be illegal. What's going on there? But the rest of it, it's all designed to demoralize Republicans. Could Republicans fight through it? And that's what I'm very curious to see. And it'll be pretty delicious. If they're able to do that and talk about the pollsters this cycle. And again, it's tough to be a poll truther because it seems like every other cycle, they get it right and then they get it wrong and they get it right. 01:11:39 Speaker 4: They get it wrong. 01:11:40 Speaker 9: It seems like that's what it is. But so far this cycle, we've got some really huge examples of misses, particularly Abdul El-Sayed, who was supposed to win by double digits and won by a fraction of a point. And then we had the Francesca Hong race in Wisconsin, who was supposed to win by 20 points in her primary and lost 20 points. They missed a poll by 20 points. And then, of course, everyone's passing around a lot of Ann Seltzer memes today who thought Kamala Harris is going to win Iowa in 2024. 01:12:02 Speaker 4: So it's a look. 01:12:04 Speaker 9: There's plenty of reason for optimism today. If you're listening live to the show, it's the just make sure you go out and vote. I keep I think, Andrew, you share that meme of Charlie just saying, did you vote yet? Did you vote? I've been thinking about it all morning. That's what I've been thinking about. And that's what you got to tell your friends and family right now. 01:12:18 Speaker 2: Yeah. Did you vote? Did you vote? Did you vote yet? 01:12:21 Speaker 4: Have you voted? 01:12:22 Speaker 12: Yeah. 01:12:22 Speaker 2: Did you vote? 01:12:23 Speaker 3: You got to make them because so many of these people otherwise decide to not do it. You have to nag a couple into doing it. We win. Nag everyone right now. 01:12:29 Speaker 9: Take out your phone right now and nag someone. 01:12:31 Speaker 3: If all of the four out of four Republicans in the last four elections turned out to vote today, we win. The only reason this is in doubt is because a bunch of four out of four Republicans today will decide, eh, it's not going to make a difference. Eh, it won't matter. Eh, I don't feel like it this time. And that is why we lose races. If they all turn out, we win. 01:12:52 Speaker 2: We Yeah, so listen, if you already have gotten your ballot from, you get a mail-in ballot, for example, in Arizona, you can't mail it back in, okay? You have to take that thing in person to vote, or they'll give you one if you show up, all right? So you've got to take that in. A lot of people, I think, get confused about the mechanics of voting, right? They're not as into it as we are, but I'm telling you, basic stuff like this. If you have your ballot, you cannot mail it in. You can still vote, though. You just have to go into a voting place. Go to tpaction.com slash polls. tpaction.com slash polls. Everything today is in person, folks. Do not be mailing your stuff in. I think there's states like California if you postmark it by election day or something like that. But those are the exceptions to the rule. Just get out and go vote. By the way, if you are stuck from the flooding, by the way, apparently you can call a number here. I'll get this on screen in just a bit. 480-374-0102. 01:13:48 Speaker 7: 480-374-0102. 01:13:48 Speaker 2: You can get some assistance to get out to the poll. And that's how we're going to do it. So everybody's got to be making a plan. There's a big weather system, by the way, going right through the middle of the country, Alex. And it's going to affect Upper Peninsula and Michigan. It's going to affect Iowa. It's going to affect Kansas. It's going to affect Texas. like right through a bunch of these states that we need huge surges on Election Day. But I'm telling you, I'm hearing it more and more. Now I'm hearing it from Arizona that that election day is picking up. That is a huge, huge thing. If true, we need it to pick up in a big, major way to put Andy Biggs in the win column here. Alex, go ahead. 01:14:36 Speaker 9: Yeah, it's a everything I'm hearing is very positive right now. I'm seeing massive turnout in red areas across the country. and huge Republican turnout, which is really interesting to me because we know they're not going to be as enthusiastic as they were two years ago. But an unenthusiastic vote and an enthusiastic vote count the exact same, and don't underestimate that. And some of these weather fronts, it's interesting to see who they could affect because it seems like they're in areas Republicans need to win. But remember, the Democrats have all these low-propensity voters now. They have all these community-organized voters who are just getting rounded up and taken to the polls, essentially, because they're better at organizing than we are. So does that deter them? And let's see how the Democrats do on mail-in votes, considering they don't trust the post office as much because Trump runs the post office. Of course, Trump doesn't do any cheating. The Democrats do the cheating. But a lot of them might believe that if they read something on Blue Sky. So, again, there's a lot of reason for optimism as we say this in the morning on the West Coast today, as of now, that this could be you could be a part of a much better night than you thought if you're voting red today. 01:15:37 Speaker 2: That's exactly right, Alex. I think we I'm feeling cautiously optimistic as the day's going on. 01:15:44 Speaker 3: And I'm I'm me, too. 01:15:45 Speaker 2: I'm listen. Anything could still happen. It's all about turnout. It's all about turnout. And again, I hate saying the same thing to you every two years. But it truly is that I mean, I'm looking at Arizona. If we get 220,000 Republicans out today, we lose. If we get 275,000, we win walking away. 01:16:00 Speaker 3: It's it's that. 01:16:04 Speaker 2: Big of a deal. That's 50,000 people that either make the choice today to don't show up or they choose to, hey, I might show up. 01:16:10 Speaker 3: It just enrages me that we could be tomorrow, have a race, we lose by 10,000 votes, 5,000 votes, and then we'll have to hear the people come out. We said, no, there was a long line. I had to get to work. I felt sick. Oh, I forgot to get in my ballot. I filled it out. I thought I'd take it. 01:16:26 Speaker 4: It was drizzling. 01:16:26 Speaker 3: I totally forgot. 01:16:27 Speaker 2: It was drizzling. 01:16:27 Speaker 3: I thought voting in the primary counted. 01:16:30 Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly. 01:16:32 Speaker 5: Give me. 01:16:33 Speaker 2: The three races that you're looking for right now as a bellwether, how the night's going to go. 01:16:38 Speaker 9: Yeah, I really want to see how Ohio goes because Ohio is a huge voter registration advantage for Republicans. Those races should not be close. And yet they seem very close for a number of reasons that we could get into. So I'm definitely checking that out as well. And then some of those races were the ones that just don't pass the eye test. I'm talking Maine, Michigan and Texas. If any of those really end up going Democrat, that suggests to me that it is going to be a bad night for Republicans because those are just the ones that, let's just be honest, guys, gun to your head. Do you really think that those Republicans are going to lose those seats? You probably don't. So if Democrats do pick up one of those, that's going to be the sign that it's a bad night. 01:17:17 Speaker 2: Blake, what are you looking at? 01:17:19 Speaker 3: We do have our first Democrat flip because we flipped the governor of Guam, but they flipped the non-voting delegate to the U.S. 01:17:25 Speaker 7: House. 01:17:25 Speaker 2: That's so. 01:17:28 Speaker 3: We'll see which one is the sign. 01:17:30 Speaker 2: Candidate quality matters, maybe. 01:17:31 Speaker 3: Candidate quality matters for your non-voting U.S. 01:17:34 Speaker 2: House delegate. Candidate quality matters. Listen, I deeply want to knock off El-Sayed. I think if El-Sayed wins, you might get AOC as the... standard bearer for the Democrat Party. Maybe you could make the argument that would be a good thing. I don't know. 01:17:48 Speaker 9: Yeah, that was my silver lining. 01:17:50 Speaker 4: That was it. 01:17:51 Speaker 9: I'm rooting against him as hard as anyone in the race. I think he's unacceptable. He's beneath the Senate, and I rarely say that considering how many fools have been in our Senate, but he really is beneath the office. But that said, he does become the face of the party if he wins. 01:18:05 Speaker 3: He might run for president. That's what Halperin says. 01:18:07 Speaker 2: He might. 01:18:07 Speaker 3: He wants to. You can see the narcissism. Yeah, he loves it. He loves it. 01:18:11 Speaker 9: He thinks he's destined for it. 01:18:13 Speaker 2: Yeah, I want to see that race happen. I would love to surprise the country with the Sununu. All the work our team has been doing in that state, that would just be a huge, huge pickup. I would love to see Susan Collins hold it in Maine. And then, you know, I'm feeling good about Marshall. I'm feeling good about Hinson. I'm feeling good about Florida. The more I'm seeing everything come through, I'm feeling good about Florida. The question is going to be Ohio, I think. John Husted, if he can hold on and we'll see what happens with Vivek. I'm being told by very smart people that Vivek's in trouble. I'm being told that it's a nail-biter. in Texas, but the turnout is really, really coming on strong. And then, listen, Arizona, it's not good enough, but it's getting better. And so we've got to get more and more people out there. Nevada's looking really strong. So, listen... This stuff can change as the night goes on, but we don't know how the Indies are going to go. If the Indies really fall off a cliff this cycle, we could still have a really good night for Team Blue. But if Indies hold at all within historical averages, it shouldn't be a blue tsunami. That's basically where it's coming down to. We'll see what the Indies do. That's the big question right now. 01:19:31 Speaker 9: I think one thing that is really interesting to track is that I had Tyler Boyer on my show from Turning Point Action a while back, and I asked him what we can do to help, and he said if you can get to Arizona or New Hampshire, get there immediately. So those will be fun races because I know you guys will get to take a lot of credit if Arizona and New Hampshire go the right way. 01:19:54 Speaker 2: Man, that would just be huge. I think Andy Biggs is governor of Arizona. That would send shockwaves. It would be a great, great win for the grassroots. Got to hold Kansas. Marshall, I'm told, didn't even think it was going to be a race until late. Got in pretty late into the election mode, into campaigning mode, because, you know, it's Kansas, right? They haven't had, I think, a Democrat senator for, what, 90-plus years? But they poured it on strong in the end. Let's see here. Nebraska... I'm thinking we're going to be solid there. Ohio, again, yeah. Alaska, this thing could all come down to Alaska, Alex. 01:20:34 Speaker 9: Yeah, it really could. Yeah, it could. 01:20:37 Speaker 2: And we might be waiting. We might be waiting for a couple days here. Here's a crazy idea, though, Alex. Crazy idea wall. Say this thing gets down to 51-49 and Abdul El-Sayed wins. You know, there's a certain person that does not like Abdul El-Sayed at all and has not been quiet about it. And that is John Fetterman. John Fetterman has repeatedly described El-Sayed as having weird little man syndrome energy, just going around insulting people, quote unquote. A real little man syndrome thing, quote unquote. He's really emphasizing that. The worst case of little man syndrome I've ever seen. 01:21:18 Speaker 3: Well, the best part of this is Fetterman himself is gigantic. 01:21:21 Speaker 2: Yes, he's like a mess. 01:21:22 Speaker 3: We need a confrontation between them in real life. 01:21:24 Speaker 2: So, Fetterman has called El-Sayed someone, quote, very proud of his very deeply anti-Israel views, and quote, pro-Hamas candidate that's been anti-American and deeply anti-Israel, and has said he, quote, supports Sharia law. He's pro-Iran and pro-Hamas. These are not, like, Subtle digs at El Sayed. If it comes to 51 to 49, Alex, do you see a universe where Fetterman says, hey, I'm out, Democrats, I'm caucusing, I'm independent now, and I'm caucusing with the Republicans to make it 50-50? 01:21:57 Speaker 9: I absolutely do because Fetterman is huge approval with Republicans in the state, and he gets along great with Senator McCormick, who's terrific, and he has low approval with Democrats. So you can certainly see it happening, and this is the whole thing, and this is why– Haley Stevens coming out and supporting Mike Rogers. I'll tell you, no one cares about Haley Stevens. But the issue is, is that people got to Haley Stevens. And who got to her? It was the same day or a day after Nancy Pelosi came out and said that Syed's a problem. So there are people in the Democrat establishment that don't want the party to become a pro Hamas party. They don't want a party that minimizes Hezbollah terror in America's heartland. They don't want that type of person who is the face of the party, which is exactly what's going to happen. So I do think that there will be some people, you've got to be brave, and you've got to be someone like a Fetterman type, who's a real iconoclast, who are going to say that I'm out now. This is official, that I don't want a guy who's bestie friends with a Son Piker who hates this country and thinks America deserved 9-11. I don't want him in the Senate. This isn't some sort of blue district somewhere or some sort of mayoral race, which is only a locality. We're talking about the U.S. Senate, which is supposed to be the most sophisticated, deliberative body on the planet. And we're putting a guy who minimizes jihad in there. That is going to be a problem for a lot of people who've been Democrats for a long time. 01:23:14 Speaker 2: Listen to this, Alex. I want to get your take on this. If you think this could end up swaying any election day votes, Israel's a hot topic. President Trump made this announcement this morning. Mr. 01:23:24 Speaker 14: President, I just want to clarify something you said earlier when it comes to Israel aid. We understand we've cut off aid to Israel. We were giving them $ 4 billion, and you're no longer going to be giving them. 01:23:35 Speaker 6: $ 4 billion. 01:23:35 Speaker 7: We were giving them $ 4 billion. We are, but it gets cut off at the end of the year. 01:23:39 Speaker 6: Why? 01:23:41 Speaker 2: Why? 01:23:41 Speaker 7: Because they don't need it, Brian. 01:23:43 Speaker 2: How big of a deal do you think that is? I've seen a lot of the commentariat online said, well, this would have been good like six months ago, nine months ago, Mr. 01:23:49 Speaker 7: President. 01:23:50 Speaker 2: But I think it's something very newsworthy. 01:23:54 Speaker 9: Yeah, very newsworthy. And if you look at the logic of it, we're paying– foreign aid is not welfare. Foreign aid is we're paying for access to information. We already have elite intelligence sharing with Israel, and I don't think the $ 4 billion is going to affect it. And I do think it's advantageous for Trump to do this politically. So I think it's a smart move. It might have been smarter 90 days ago than it is today, but it seems like a smart move, and I hope the word gets out. 01:24:19 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think it's probably the right move. My belief is that this has been something I think Charlie supported. You've got to let Israel stand on its own two feet. It's become such a hot-button topic and a flashpoint and a wedge issue. This helps de-wedgeify it. This helps take some of the intensity off. And listen, Americans, especially Baga, the base, wants us to support America. They want to be focused on domestics. Whatever happens on election night tonight, We've got to get back to messaging domestically. Alex Marlowe, thoughts? 01:24:51 Speaker 9: Yeah, he doesn't have sacred cows. This is yet again proving Trump doesn't have sacred cows. He's willing to reevaluate stuff. Other lesser politicians are not willing to reevaluate. It's part of his skill. And so I think it's a great thing. And if Israel needs the money for a specific purpose, they can make that case at a time instead of just having an allowance from the United States. I think it works out great. 01:25:10 Speaker 7: Yeah. 01:25:11 Speaker 2: Alex Marlowe, check him out. Breitbart News, editor-in-chief, host of The Alex Marlowe Show. Thank you, my friend. We've got a big night tonight. Vote. 01:25:18 Speaker 3: Vote and call people to vote. 01:25:19 Speaker 2: Yes. Harass your friends and family. Vote. 01:25:22 Speaker 3: Not one step back. 01:25:25 Speaker 2: We'll see you guys tonight. 01:25:30 Speaker 3: For more on many of these stories and news you can trust, go to charliekirk.com.